THE TYLENOL MURDERS

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1975 Murder Cover-up
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Cyanide
Evidence Destroyed
Frank's Finer Foods
The Seventh Tylenol Bottle
The Eighth Tylenol Bottle
Unknown Pharmacy
THE TYLENOL MURDERS COVER-UP
 

 
The failures of the Tylenol murders investigations in 1982 and 1986 were the result of conspiracy by Johnson & Johnson, the Illinois Attorney General, FBI and FDA to cover up the truth about the unsecured and unsafe pharmaceutical distribution system.
 
 
WHAT YOU HAVE NOT BEEN TOLD ABOUT THE TYLENOL MURDERS
 
 
 
 

THERE WERE HUNDREDS OF BOTTLES OF CYANIDE LACED TYLENOL

Statistical Analysis to Determine the Number of Adulterated Tylenol Bottles

The Tylenol task force, FDA, FBI and J&J contend that of the victim’s five bottles of poisoned Tylenol, the very first capsule consumed from four of those bottles contained cyanide.  Considering the small number of poisoned pills in each bottle, the odds of this happening are astronomical.  Statistically, for seven people to have died from seven bottles of poisoned Tylenol there must have been many times that many bottles in the marketplace that actually contained cyanide laced Tylenol capsules.

Six poisoned capsules remained in the bottle from the Janus home.  Adam, Stanley and Theresa Janus each swallowed 2 capsules, so the bottle initially contained between 9 and 12 capsules.  For this analysis it’s assumed there were initially 12 poisoned capsules.

Number of cyanide laced Tylenol capsules in the 4 of 5 victim's bottles in which the first capsule consumed was filled with cyanide:

5 poisoned capsules in Kellerman’s 50-count bottle of Tylenol capsules

12 poisoned capsules in Janus’s 50-count bottle

4 poisoned capsules in Reiner’s 50-count bottle

5 poisoned capsules in Prince’s 24-count bottle of Tylenol capsules

 

What are the odds that the first capsule poured out of each bottle would contain cyanide?

10% chance the first capsule from Kellerman’s 50-count bottle would contain cyanide

24% chance the first capsule from the 50-count Janus bottle would contain cyanide

8% chance the first capsule from Reiner’s bottle would contain cyanide

21% chance the first capsule from the Prince bottle would contain cyanide

 

The odds that the first Tylenol capsule poured out of all four ot these bottles would contain cyanide are 0.04 percent

·         10% x 24% x 8% x 21% = 0.04%

Said another way, the odds were 1 in 2,500.

The seven victims swallowed poisoned capsule from five bottles of Tylenol.  Subsequently, three additional bottles of poisoned Tylenol capsules were found.  Statistics and a little bit of common sense leaves little doubt that there were many more bottles of Poisoned Tylenol than the 8 that were reported.

 

Experiment

There were an average of 6.5 poisoned capsules in the Kellerman, Janus, Reiner and Prince Tylenol bottles:

     (5 + 12 + 4 + 5) / 4 = 6.5

There was an average of 43.5 total capsules in the bottles:

     (50 + 50 + 50 + 24) / 4 = 43.5

The odds that the first capsule poured from a 43.5-count bottle of capsules in which 6.5 of the capsules were poisoned are about 1 in 7, or 14.36%:

 6.5/43.5

Assume there is an endless supply of Tylenol bottles containing 43.5 capsules in which 6.5 of the capsules are filled with poison.  Also assume that 1 capsule is poured out of the bottles one at a time until 4 poisoned Tylenol capsules have been accumulated.

On average, it would take 28 bottles to accomplish this feat.

·         Bottles of poisoned Tylenol capsules purchased = 28  [(100% / 14.36%) x 4]

 

This analysis indicates that about 28 Chicago area residents purchased 28 bottles of poisoned Tylenol and then swallowed at least one capsule.

There must have been about 23 people who swallowed capsules from a bottle of poisoned Tylenol, but had the good fortune to learn about the poisonings before taking one of the poisoned capsules.  Those people threw out their Tylenol bottles or returned them to Johnson & Johnson.

How many consumers bought a bottle of poisoned Tylenol capsules but never took any of the capsules?

Assuming that 33 percent of the people who bought bottles of poisoned Tylenol actually consumed at least one capsule; then about 57 bottles of poisoned Tylenol must have been purchased but no capsules consumed.  A total of about 85 bottles of poisoned Tylenol must have been purchased.

·         Total bottles of poisoned Tylenol capsules purchased = 85  (28 / 33%)

 

If a total of 85 bottles of poisoned Tylenol capsules were purchased; how many bottles of poisoned Tylenol were sitting on store shelves but not purchased?

Video footage of Jewel stores in the days following the murders showed shelf displays of about 1 to 3 dozen bottles of Extra Strength Tylenol capsules.  The front row typically consisted of 6 to 12 bottles.

Several Jewel store managers told ABC News that they were selling 1 or 2 bottles of Extra Strength Tylenol capsules per day.  The bottles of poisoned Tylenol sold to the victims must have constituted about 50% to 100% of the bottles of Extra Strength Tylenol capsules sold at those stores on that day.

Assuming that stores sold on average 2 bottles of Extra Strength Tylenol and the average store stocked 6 bottles on the front row of their shelves; there’s about a 37 percent chance that 1 bottle of poisoned Tylenol capsules would be purchased.  That assumes that the front row of the store’s Tylenol display contained 6 bottles of Extra Strength Tylenol capsules in which 2 of the bottles contained poisoned capsules:

    1/6 + 1/5 = 16.7% + 20% = 36.7%

The previous analysis estimated that 85 bottles of poisoned Tylenol were purchased.  Therefore, the estimated number of bottles of poisoned Tylenol sitting on the shelves of Chicago area stores is 230:

·         85/37% = 230 = Total bottles of cyanide laced Tylenol capsules on store shelves

 

Could a lone madman put hundreds of bottles of cyanide laced Tylenol on the shelves of Chicago area stores in just one day and not get caught?

 

There was no lone madman stalking Chicago area stores with a pocketfull of cyanide laced Tylenol capsules.

The cyanide laced Tylenol capsules that caused the deaths of at least seven Chicago area residents in 1982 were poisoned during distribution. Johnson & Johnson covered up the truth so that it would not be held liable for the Tylenol tampering and murders.

At least one former J&J executives is making a panicked effort to keep the truth obscured.

When The Tylenol Mafia is released this summer, you’ll know what Johnson & Johnson knows. 

 
 
 
What Did Johnson & Johnson Really Know?
 
Johnson & Johnson executives must have known shortly after learning about the Chicago poisonings that the Tylenol tampering occurred during distribution, yet they insisted from the very start that the Tylenol capsules had been adulterated at Chicago area retail stores.
 
J&J executives, FDA officials, and Tylenol Task Force agents claimed it was some "nut" or "psycho" or "madman" who went into an unknown number of local food and drug stores, took an unknown number of Tylenol bottles from the shelves, and filled a random number of Extra-Strength Tylenol capsules with cyanide. Their insistence that Tylenol capsules had been adulterated by some "madman" at local Chicago area stores was part of a marketing campaign designed to take the focus off Johnson & Johnson.
 
Not only did J&J executives know the Tylenol had been adulterated during distribution, they had a pretty good idea as to exactly where the capsules were poisoned.
 
 
If Tylenol capsules were adulterated at local retail stores, how would the recall be conducted?
 
It's implausible that a person who would indiscriminately pepper Chicago area stores with Tylenol bottles containing random quantities of cyanide laced capsules would target only Tylenol from one or two specific lots.
 
Upon learning about the poisoned Tylenol, a reasonable person would have assumed the capsules from any lot might contain the lethal pills. Officials who believed a madman was running loose near Chicago with a deadly arsenal of Tylenol capsules would have wanted to recall all Tylenol capsules from all stores in and around Chicago.
 
It would have made no sense to conduct a recall in which only the Tylenol bottles from one or two specific lots were returned, leaving the remaining 95% of all Tylenol capsules sitting on the store shelves for customers to buy. Yet that's exactly how J&J implemented their recall.
 
 
How was the recall conducted?
 

Thursday, September 30, 1982

 

On Thursday, September 30, Johnson & Johnson announced a nation-wide recall of 93,400 bottles from lot number MC2880. That recall accounted for 4.7 million, or 4.3%, of the 110 million capsules that were eventually collected and destroyed by J&J; 2.35% of the Extra Strength Tylenol capsules in the marketplace.

 

Even though J&J executives insisted the Tylenol had been contaminated locally, they recalled only a tiny portion of the Tylenol sitting on store shelves throughout the Chicago area. And rather than concentrating the recall locally, J&J recalled Tylenol bottles from lot MC2880 throughout the nation.

 

J&J spokesman Robert Kniffen said, “the company has no evidence any other product was contaminated.” He said the recalled lot consisted of 93,400 bottles containing 50 capsules each, and that they had been distributed in August in all states east of the Mississippi as well as in North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska and in part of Wyoming.

 

 

Friday, October 1, 1982

 

On Friday, October 1, Johnson & Jonson recalled 171,000 Tylenol bottles from lot number MD1910 after the DuPage County coroner's office confirmed that cyanide laced capsules in a Tylenol bottle from that lot were found in the home of one of the victims.

 

On Friday afternoon, J&J said that all Extra Strength Tylenol capsules should be removed from stores in the Chicago area. If J&J executives actually believed the Tylenol had been adulterated at the local retail stores, they would have made that announcement on Thursday morning. By Friday, J&J's decision to expand the recall in Chicago was academic. Retailers throughout the country had already removed all Tylenol capsules from their store's shelves.

 

Why did Johnson & Johnson executives recall only Extra-Strength Tylenol capsules? If they really believed some madman in the Chicago area was filling Tylenol capsules with cyanide, wouldn’t they have also recalled Regular-Strength Tylenol capsules?

 

 

Tuesday, October 5, 1982

 

Finally, five days after learning that Tylenol capsules had been laced with cyanide, and days after retailers had emptied their stores of Tylenol, Johnson & Johnson reluctantly announced the recall of all Tylenol capsules. It was only after learning that a man in California had been poisoned by an Extra Strength Tylenol capsule laced with strychnine that J&J announced the recall.

 

Johnson & Johnson conducted the recall in the manner of an organization that knew the Tylenol capsules had been adulterated during distribution before the Tylenol bottles had been placed on retail store shelves. J&J executives knew from day one that there was no anonymous madman stalking food and drug stores in the Chicago area.

 
In order to save the Tylenol brand and the "good name" of Johnson & Johnson; J&J executives, FDA officials, and Law enforcement agents decided to cover the Tylenol killer's tracks. The killer was never brought to justice because J&J, the FDA, and leaders of the Tylenol Task Force did not want the killer brought to justice.
 
Based on the activity in the current reactivated investigation, J&J and the FBI still do not want the killer brought to justice.
 
 
Tylenol recall versus Excedrin recall
 
On October 26, 1982, four weeks after the Tylenol murders, the FDA learned that two Colorado residents had been poisoned after consuming Maximum-Strength Excedrin capsules that had been filled with toxic mercuric chloride.
 
Just as they'd done after the Chicago Tylenol poisonings, officials said they believed the Excedrin capsules had been adulterated at the local retail stores. Unlike the Chicago Tylenol poisonings, the FDA recalled all Maximum-Strength Excedrin capsules, but in Colorado only. The focus of the FDA recall was on geography, as one might expect from an FDA that truly believed the capsules had been tampered with at local retail stores in Colorado.

The FDA ordered all Colorado stores to remove Excedrin from the shelves and for people to return any unused Excedrin to the stores so that the federal agency can collect them, said Leroy Gomez, director of the FDA's Denver district office.

 
This immediate local recall of all Maximum-Strength Excedrin capsules in Colorado was much different than the nationwide piecemeal recall that was made after the Tylenol poisonings. The methodologies used were drastically different because FDA officials truly believed the poisoned Excedrin had been adulterated at local retail stores in Colorado. FDA and J&J did not believe the poisoned Tylenol in Chicago had been adulterated at local retail stores. They knew that the cyanide laced Tylenol capsules found in Chicago area stores had actually been adulterated during distribution.
 
 
 
Evidence of the Cover-up goes far beyond the Faulty Recall Methodology
 
 
Evidence was planted to support the bogus approved theory of the Tylenol Murders
When evidence was revealed that contradicted the approved theory, officials manufactured bogus evidence.
Officials lied about the cyanide
Cyanide did not cause the Tylenol capsules to deteriorate as quickly as J&J executives and FDA officials claimed.
 
Officials lied about the distribution of Tylenol and the packaging of Tylenol
Tylenol was not bottled and packaged at the manufacturing plants as J&J executives and FDA officials stated.
 
Officials lied about the Undisclosed Pharmacy
Had officials revealed the identity of the "undisclosed pharmacy" the public would have learned that the Tylenol was not adulterated at local retail stores as was claimed by authorities from J&J, the FDA, and the Tylenol Task Force.
 
Officials lied about the tampering of tamper-resistant packaging
The tamper-resistant packaging on the Tylenol bottles that contained cyanide laced capsules in 1986 were not tampered with as was claimed by J&J executives and officials from the FDA and FBI.
 
Official lied about Frank's Finer Foods involvement
None of the victims bought cyanide laced Tylenol from Frank's Finer Foods as was claimed by J&J, FBI, and FDA.
 
 
 
 
 
THE 1986 TYLENOL MURDER COVER-UP
 

“The bottles were tampered with locally, at the retail store” aspect of the approved theory - the most important component of the cover up - was exposed as a fraud after the 1986 Tylenol murder and then very sloppily covered up by the FBI.

 

Westchester District Attorney Carl Vergari revealed evidence about the tampering that officials from the FBI, FDA, and J&J did not want publicized.

 

 

THE VERGARI PROBLEM

 

The cornerstone of the approved theory of the Tylenol murders deception ran into trouble when on February 18, 1986 Carl Vergari held a press conference and reiterated findings revealed to him by FBI scientists. Vergari said Federal investigators found no evidence that the triple seals on the bottles of tainted Tylenol had been broken after they left the factory, suggesting that they might have been tampered with there (at the factory).

The two bottles that contained contaminated capsules were sent to the FBI labs to determine “to a reasonable degree of certainty” through microscopic examination “whether the metal foil that’s heat-welded to the top of the bottle has been tampered with after it left the factory.”

 

“And they say in both cases that their laboratory examination reveals that it was not,” he said, ”that these bottles were not tampered with after they left the factory; that, ergo, the contamination was done at some time during the manufacturing process before the seal was placed on it.”

 

“What could be clearer than that?” Vergari said.

 

FBI spokesman Jack French declined to confirm or deny Vergari’s assertion. But the fact remained; the FBI’s own evidence didn’t fit the approved theory.  Since the packaging hadn’t been tampered with, the Tylenol capsules had to have been laced with cyanide before the bottles were packaged and before they were placed on the local retail store shelves.

 

Unfortunately, Vergari was missing a critical piece of evidence that kept him from connecting all the dots. He didn't know the Tylenol hadn't been packaged at the factory; it was packaged at repackaging facilities across the country.

 

Athough the evidence made it crystal clear that the Tylenol had not been adulterated at the local retail stores, the FBI refused to deviate from their story. Milt Ahlerich, chief of public affairs for the FBI, said the lack of evidence “does not mean that the tampering did not occur."

 

Here again, despite the FBI’s own evidence showing otherwise, it publically discounted the findings made in their own lab by their own investigators. Ahlerich's statement that “the lack of evidence does not mean that the tampering did not occur,” was especially ridiculous.

 

Some FBI lab guy had obviously not been brought into the loop regarding the approved theory of the Tylenol murders.

 

J&J and FDA officials quickly weighed in on the discussion by making public statements intented to discredit Vergari. Their erroneous statements were considered facts in the minds of the media and the public. Officials from the FDA and J&J said, “The weight of evidence suggested that the crime was a local one.”

 

James Burke appeared on "The Donahue Show" and said:

“We do not have any proof it didn’t happen in the plant or the warehouse, but all logic tells us it didn’t.”

Burke went on to note the ''considerable amount of confusion'' in the case that may have led to an opinion held by Carl Vergari, the Westchester County District Attorney, who had said he believes the pills were probably adulterated at the manufacturing plants.

What confusion was Burke talking about? There wasn't any question that the FBI found absolutely no evidence that any of the tamper resistant seals had been tampered with. If there was any confusion, it was created because of deceptive statements made by Burke, Ahlerich, and FDA Commissioner Frank Young. Statements made by these individuals had no basis in fact and conflicted with the very simple truth that the Tylenol capsules had been adulterated during distribution before any of the deadly capsules were delivered to the local retail stores.

The all out marketing blitz to deceive the public didn’t change the fact that Vergari had spilled the beans. The packaging on the Tylenol bottles had not been tampered with. Evidence from the FBI's own inspection confirmed this fact, creating a real problem for proponents of the approved theory.

To rectify this problem the FBI was forced to take action to quash this troubling truth. So it did what any self respecting government agency would do when faced with a situation such as this. They ordered a bogus second inspection of the tamper resistant packaging and then made up evidence that aligned with the approved theory.

For their second inspection the FBI claimed to have used a sophisticated ultra hi-tech investigatory technique; a technique that the FBI refused to disclose to the public.

The FBI's second inspection wasn't really done with the help of some top secret ultra hi-tech equipment. In fact, there was no second inspection; it wasn’t needed. The only equipment needed to get the desired results from the second inspection were the pen and paper used to produce the press release that seemingly fit the approved theory of the Tylenol murders.

 

 

UNDER CONSTRUCTION
 
What Did J&J CEO James Burke Really Know?
 
 
 
 
What Did Attorney General Tyrone Fahner Really Know?
 
 
 
 
What Did the FDA Really Know?
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Analysis in progress

 

 

If the seventh and eight bottles of Tylenol were not actually contaminated with cyanide laced Tylenol, until after they were returned to authorities, then all of the Tylenol bottles purchased from local stores, which authorities admitted contained cyanide laced capsules, were consumed by the victims. That every single bottle contaminated with cyanide laced Tylenol killed one or more persons is an absurd hypothesis. This hypothesis means that the Tylenol killer put poisoned capsules into six bottles, five of the six bottles were purchased in just one day, and every single bottle with contaminated Tylenol that was purchased killed at least one person.

 

 

 

 

 

Bottles 1 through 5 contained cyanide laced Tylenol capsules and caused the deaths of all seven Chicago area victims.

 

The sixth bottle of Tylenol was supposedly removed from Osco Drug in the Schaumburg mall by investigators.

 

It's inconcievable that five out of a total of six bottles containing poisoned capsules were purchased all on the same day, and that every conatminated bottle that was purchased resulted in the death of at least one person. It's unbelievable that those six bottles accounted for all of the cyanide laced Tylenol.

 

Local store managers of Jewel Foods said they were only selling 1 or 2 bottles of Extra-Strength Tylenol per day.

 

 

 

 

At the time of the Tylenol murders, J&J said that there were about 200 million capsules in the marketplace and supply chain. 110 million capsules were returned to J&J after the murders. The number of bottles reportedly returned doesn't align to the number of capsules reportedly returned. The official number of bottles returned was 31 million bottles. That would equal only about 4 capsules per bottle.

 

It was reported that two million capsules, about 40,000 bottles were tested, and only the one unpurchased bottle removed from Osco Drugs was found to contain cyanide laced capsules.

 

The only contaminated bottle of Tylenol "definetly" purchased and returned was identified by J&J after it was returned to a reverse distribution center in Maple Plains MN, with a note attached to it that stated, "this bottle may be contaminated." 

 

The manager from the Jewel Foods where one of the poisoned bottles was purchased said he was only selling only one or two bottles of Extra-Strength Tylenol per day. Managers from other Chicago area stores said the same thing.

 

It's inconceivable that there were only 8 bottles of adulterated Tylenol and that in a period of less than 24 hours, 7 of a total of 8 contaminated bottles were purchased. It's unfathomable that 5 purchased bottles would each lead to at least one death if there were only 7 bottles purchased containing only only 5 to 12 poisoned capsules. 

 

It's inconceivable that every single contaminated Tylenol bottle that was purchased and opened resulted in death; a "hit rate" of 100%.

 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

UNDER CONSTRUCTION

 

 

 

Data for Statistical Analysis

 

 

Number of stores in the Chicaco area in 1982:

 

Jewel-Osco = 200

Dominick's   = 110

Walgreens   = 100

Total           = 410

 

 

Contaminated Tylenol bottles (according to authorities):

 

Number purchased = 7

Number purchased resulting in deaths = 5

Number purchased and then returned (no capsules consumed) = 2

Number of contaminated bottles not purchased = 1

Total = 8

 

Number of stores linked to comtaminated bottles (according to officials) = 8

Bottles per store = 1

 

 

Number of adulterated capsules in each bottle (according to information released by officials):

 

Bottle #1 = 

Bottle #2 = 

Bottle #3 = 

Bottle #4 = 

Bottle #5 = 

Bottle #6 = 

Bottle #7 = 

Bottle #8 = 

 

 

Capsules breakdown (based on data released by officials):

 

Bottle #1:  bottle count = 50;           capsules comsumed = 1;     number poisoned =

Bottle #2:  bottle count = 50;           capsules comsumed = 6;     number poisoned =

Bottle #3:  bottle count = 50;           capsules comsumed = 0;     number poisoned =

Bottle #4:  bottle count = unknown;    capsules comsumed = 1;    number poisoned =

Bottle #5:  bottle count = 50;            capsules comsumed = 7;     number poisoned =

Bottle #6:  bottle count = 24;            capsules comsumed = 1;     number poisoned =

Bottle #7:  bottle count = 50;            capsules comsumed = 0;

Bottle #8:  bottle count = 50;            capsules comsumed = 0;

 

 

Average number of bottles of Extra Strength Tylenol capsules sold per retail store per day:

 

Retail outlets = 11,000;  Institutional outlets = 11,000

 

Tylenol sales per year =

Extra Strength Tylenol capsules sales per year =

Average price per bottle of Extra Strength Tylenol capsules =

 

Average number of Extra Strength Tylenol capsules bottles sold per day =

Average number of Extra Strength Tylenol capsules bottles sold per day in each Chicago area store =

Average number of Extra Strength Tylenol capsules bottles sold per day in the Chicago area =

 

 

Odds that only eight bottles were contaminated:

 

 

 

 

Odds that the official cyanide laced capsule count is not a lie:

 

 

Bottle #1 - THE KELLERMAN BOTTLE

Mary Kellerman took 1 capsule from a 50-count bottle containing 5 cyanide laced Tylenol capsules.

 

Odds that the first capsule from a 50-count bottle would be poisoned if the bottle contained 5 poisoned capsules = 10.00%

5 / 50 = 10.00%

 

Based on this one bottle - Odds that officials lied about the Kellerman bottle and/or the number of bottles that contained cyanide laced Tylenol capsules = 90%

 

 

 

Bottle #2 - THE JANUS BOTTLE

Three Janus family members took 6 capsules; the 50-count bottle initially contained 12 cynaide laced capsules

 

Odds that all 3 Janus's would be poisoned by taking 2 capsules each from a 50-count bottle that initially contained 12 poisoned capsules = 0.06% to 9.65%

 

Odds that officials lied about the number of cyanide laced capsules in the Janus Tylenol bottle = 90.35% to 99.94%

 

 

Favorable Assumption Odds (assumes that 1 out of 2 capsules taken by each of the Janus's was poisoned):

Janus "Favorable Assumption" Odds that officials did NOT lie = 9.65%

 

Odds that 1 of Adam's capsules would be poisoned = 48.00%

(12 / 50 ) + (12 / 50) =  24.00% + 24% = 48.00% 

Odds that 1 of Stanley's capsules would be poisoned = 45.84%

(11 / 48 ) + (11 / 48) =  22.92% + 22.92% = 45.84%

Odds that 1 of Theresa's capsules would be poisoned = 45.84%

(10 / 46 ) + (10 / 46) =  21.74% + 21.74% = 43.48%

Odds that all 3 Janus's would get at least 1 out of 12 poisoned capsules in a 50-count bottle = 9.65%

48.00% x 45.84% x 43.84% =  9.65%

 

 

Least Favorable Assumption (assumes that all 6 capsules taken by the Janus's were poisoned): 

"Least Favorable Assumption" Odds that officials did NOT lie = 0.06%

 

Odds that both of Adam's capsules would be poisoned = 5.34%

12 / 50 = 24.00%;  11 / 49 = 22.45%;  24.00% x 22.45% = 5.34% 

Odds that both of Stanley's capsules would be poisoned = 3.99%

10 / 48 = 20.83%;  9 / 47 = 19.15%;  20.83% x 19.15% = 3.99%

 Odds that both of Theresa's capsules would be poisoned = 2.71%

8 / 46 = 17.39;  7 / 45 = 15.56%;  17.39% x 15.56% = 2.71%

 

Odds that the first 6 capsules taken from a 50-count bottle would countain poison if the bottle initially contained 12 cyanide laced capsules =  0.06%

5.34% x 3.99% x 2.71% = 0.06%

 

 

 

 

Bottle #4 - Mary Reiner;  n/a

 

Bottle #5 - THE McFARLAND BOTTLE

Mary McFarlund took 7 capsules over time, the last 2 were adulterated;  # remaining = 43;  # capsules containing cyanide =   ;

 

 

Bottle #6 = Paula Prince took 1 capsule;  # remaining = 24;  # capsules containing cyanide =   ;

 

Bottle #7 = n/a

Bottle #8 = n/a